Category Archives: Statistics

Shelter at Home

Day t-1. I broke my wine opener. The corkscrew got stuck and snapped off. Not an auspicious beginning to my quarantine party. Monterey County has issued a “shelter in place” order. I’m fortunate to be able to work from home, … Continue reading

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Big, Little World

I’m not sure what to think about the novel corona virus going around the globe like a case of HSV2 at Coachella. Don’t get me wrong, there are plenty of people who will be glad to tell me what to … Continue reading

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The Proposal

First, you make a roux. No, seriously, you’re going to need the carbs. Add the trinity (onions, bell pepper, and celery.) Invoke the Trinity (JMJ), and anoint the router with holy water while you pray for internet speeds capable of running … Continue reading

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The Delta

Growing up, the word delta conjured images of fertile farmlands adjacent to the Mississippi River on the other side of the state.  On my side of Louisiana, the Sabine River deposited slick red clay that turned every rainy day into … Continue reading

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Asymptotically Valid Co-Variance Estimator

Did you get yours yet? I heard all the hip variance-co-variance matrices are into bondage validity this year. Econometric validity requires two conditions: no bias and consistency. This may be the first time the egg-heads got it right. Back to the … Continue reading

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Mean Reversion

There’s this theory called mean reversion and it more or less boils down this: things move to the middle. It’s an old idea– what goes up must come down. Yesterday LSU fired Les Miles. As much as his rote play-calling … Continue reading

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Bad at Math

Everytime I buy a lottery ticket, I can hear the tinkling laugh of a friend who pshawed the lottery for people who are “bad at math.” But, I’m NOT bad at Math. The odds are 1:Gazillion I will win. Those … Continue reading

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